If you ever wanted to quantify the strength of a trend based on its
volume levels – as well as the degree of buying and selling pressure –
there’s a handy indicator that can help you do the job.
The Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) is an
indicator, created by Marc Chaikin, that’s used to analyze Money Flow
Volume over a specific “lookback” period of time, usually 20 or 21 days.
The concept of Money Flow Volume
(MVF) is a variable used in the calculations by Chaikin and measures the
buying and selling pressure of an asset over a single period. In order to calculate money flow, one must first determine the Money Flow Multiplier used in the overall equation.
To calculate the Money Flow Multiplier for a period:
[(Close – Low) – (High – Close)] /(High – Low) = Money Flow Multiplier
Money Flow is defined by multiplying the Multiplier with the volume for the current period:
Money Flow Multiplier x Volume for the Period = Money Flow Volume
Thankfully, you don’t need to do the equation every single time, as charting websites like TradingView can do it for you.
The Chaikin Money Flow
The CMF’s value fluctuates between 1
and -1, with the basic interpretation that when the CMF is closer to 1,
buying pressure is higher, while, conversely, when below 0 and closer
toward -1, selling pressure is higher.
What to watch for
The chart above shows that from
period Jan. 6 to Jan 9. 2019, prices began to retrace after a slight
rally occurred the day prior.
But with a triggered sell-off along
the $4,000 former support zone, the CMF illustrated a huge pickup in
selling pressure and confirming the bearish move as legitimate and
extensive.
Indeed, savvy investors could have
used the CMF to gauge the swift rejection at the neutral zero-line,
conserving 9-10 percent of their investment in the process.
Bear/Bull Cross
A bull or bear cross with the CMF
simply means a crossover above or below the neutral zero-line when the
indicator begins to move and switch from one zone to the other.
Recent price action shows a dip below
0 as it crossed into negative territory amid a minor sell-off,
indicating that selling pressure is greater for that current period and
the possibility for dipping lower is increased.
However, the CMF isn’t always perfect and only posts information
after a major move has occurred, allowing one to simply confirm its
placement in terms of momentum and volatility.
The CMF is best used in conjunction with other indicators like the relative strength index (RSI), stochastic or Chaikin oscillator in order to provide confirmation to your primary reading.
And while it is useful on all time frames, the CMF functions optimally in analyzing longer-term trends.
Weekly chart
Here we see the RSI providing a
fairly lackluster reading on Dec. 31 of 31.54 combined with the bearish
cross on the CMF as price made no new highs after temporarily attempting
to rally higher.
Once the CMF reaches the bottom of the range, selling pressure is at
its greatest extent and if no further drawdown is achieved then you may
consider prices to be stabilizing at those current levels.
But there are limitations…
The Chaikin Money Flow faces
limitation in the aforementioned Money Flow Multiplier as it does not
take into account the change in a trading range between periods, meaning
any price gaps on the chart won’t be picked up and will fall out of
sync until an eventual reset or a reconfiguration of the values.
When combined with other indicators,
however, the Chaikin Money Flow can be a useful tool for measuring the
buying and selling pressure of a particular asset over a specified
timeframe and could save you potential losses in the future when used in
conjunction with other noteworthy signals.
source link
